wxteam4's Blog

Thanks for spending part of your holiday weekend with the FOX 4 Weather Blog!

No real changes needed to the forecast thoughts from a few days ago...a couple of stray storms are always possible over the next 2 days...but there is really nothing noteworthy to enhance the storm chances till TUE...at that point a weak trof (wind shift) will slide towards the I-70 corridor and should be able to spark off a more concentrated area of storms that should give some of us some rainfall...storms will be slow moving so some may get over 1-2" but again some will miss out...right now my chance on TUE is 50%...

Very hot weather (hottest so far) likely for the next 2 days with highs between 91-95 degrees...dewpoints in the upper 60s or so should allow the Heat Index to close in on 100 in the afternoon hours...

Wednesday rain chances are dwindling...I will keep a 30% chance in there in case this next trof is huffing through the area...but odds at this point favor a cold pool to generate with the storms that form on TUE...this should give the front a push in the you kknow what...and send it towards the I-44 corridor...later nextr week looks pretty toasty with temps back in the 90s by next weekend, if not earlier...the summer doldrums are definately settling in now!

I had Chris do another interesting research project...he's been crunching numbers for the last couple of weeks...so without any more delay...here is Chris's work...

More interesting statistics associated with this last project. For this one, we took the years of 1970 thru 2007, 38 years, and in the months of July, August and September, we tallied the daily highs. To make the data easier to analyze, we tallied the number of 100s, 90s, 80s, 70s, 60s, 50s, and yes, even 40s for each month. We have also cooked up some graphs to help show the breakdown for each month. So without further explanation….the results:

 

In the month of July for the last 38 years, ~44% of the month was spent with highs in the 80s and, ~42% was spent in the 90s. A greater percent (~7%) of the month was spent in the 70s (~7%) than in the 100s (~5%). And for the 38 years, only 7 days in July were spent in the 60s (~.6%).

 

Now for August. 80° highs held the greatest percent again with ~44%. 90° highs fell back a little in the percentage of the month, ~35%. And 70° highs jumped up to ~14%, as well as 60° high up to ~1%. However, the percentage of the month spent with 100° highs stayed about the same, ~5%.

 

Finally, the breakdown for September gives us a few surprises. Again, 80° highs held the greatest percentage, ~40%. Like we expect it to, the percentage of 90° highs dropped off quite a bit to only ~12% and the 60° and 70° highs came up, ~14% and ~29% respectively. The 100° highs all but disappeared, down to <.5% (only 5 days in the last 38 years for month of September). We had 50° highs make quite an appearance with ~3% and….like I mentioned above, we even had 40° highs. One day in the last 38 years, in the month of September, had a high in the 40s: September 29th, 1985. In case you’re curious about the percentage, that’s 0.09%.

 

I know all these numbers are hard to keep straight, and if you are a visual person…like myself, graphs just give you a better idea: 

My next project idea is for him to analyize the differences in high temperatures over the course of a year between KCI/Downtown and Pleasant Hill...using KCI as the "control" if you will...he'll be starting on that this afternoon...there used to be rather significant differences...especially with high temperatures...to the tune of 2-4 degrees but my own observations lately seem to show a lesser difference...we'll see what Chris comes up with...

Joe